Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen – Market Overview
Current Trading Level (2025‑11‑13): 100.94 JPY per AUD52‑Week Range: 86.18 – 101.81 JPY
Recent Market Action
- On Thursday, 13 November, the AUD/JPY pair climbed toward its yearly high of approximately 101.60 JPY.
- The rally was driven by strong Australian employment data for October, published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
- The pair remains above the 100‑day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart, providing a key technical support level.
Key Economic Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Consensus | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate (Oct) | 4.3 % | 4.4 % | Lower than expected, indicating a healthy labour market. |
| Employment Change (Oct) | 42.2 k | 20 k | Strong job creation, supporting the AUD. |
| RBA Policy Outlook | Hold | Likely hold | Strong employment may keep rates steady. |
| Japanese Monetary Policy | Unchanged | – | No shift expected from Bank of Japan, reducing volatility on the JPY side. |
Technical Analysis
- The AUD/JPY cross trades in negative territory near 100.85 during the early European session on Friday, 14 November.
- Despite a brief dip, the pair is well‑supported above the 100‑day EMA on the daily chart.
- The 14‑day trend indicator continues to signal upward momentum, reinforcing a bullish outlook.
Market Sentiment
- Both BitcoinEthereumNews.com and FXStreet.com reports maintain a bullish stance for AUD/JPY above 100.50 JPY.
- The consensus suggests that the Australian dollar will continue to benefit from robust employment data, while the Japanese yen remains relatively stable.
Summary
The Australian dollar has shown resilience against the Japanese yen, buoyed by unexpectedly strong employment figures and a supportive technical backdrop. Traders should monitor the pair around the 100‑day EMA and the 100.50 JPY threshold for potential reversal points, while keeping an eye on forthcoming Australian policy statements and Japanese monetary policy announcements.
