Cleveland‑Cliffs Inc. Faces Revised Valuation Amidst Industry Dynamics

Cleveland‑Cliffs Inc. (CLF), a U.S. metals and mining company listed on the New York Stock Exchange, saw its trading price on 25 November 2025 close at $12.64. The company’s market capitalization stood at $8.15 billion USD and its price‑earnings ratio was –3.73, indicating earnings below the market price. The 52‑week range for the stock was $5.63 (low, 29 May 2025) to $16.70 (high, 19 Oct 2025).

Analyst Adjustment to Target Price

On 25 November 2025, a Bank of America (BofA) research team reduced its price target for Cleveland‑Cliffs from $14.00 to $12.50. The revision reflects BofA’s assessment that the company’s earnings prospects are weaker than previously projected. The new target aligns with the recent close and suggests a cautious outlook for investors, especially given the company’s negative earnings multiple and the broader volatility in the metals sector.

Impact of Canadian Steel Import Restrictions

Two days later, on 27 November 2025, the Canadian government announced new limits on foreign steel imports to mitigate the effects of U.S. tariffs. While the policy primarily targets steel producers within Canada, the restriction could influence global steel supply chains. Cleveland‑Cliffs, which manufactures flat‑rolled carbon steel, stainless steel, and related products, may experience changes in competitive dynamics and demand patterns as the Canadian market adjusts to the new import constraints. The company’s exposure to international trade policies underscores the importance of monitoring geopolitical developments that affect steel pricing and demand.

Industry Context

The metals and mining sector continues to grapple with fluctuating commodity prices and evolving trade policies. Recent data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA) indicated a 4.1 % year‑on‑year increase in global air cargo demand in October 2025, a trend that supports higher transportation and logistics costs for bulk commodities, including steel. Additionally, initiatives to scale green steel production in India highlight a growing focus on sustainable manufacturing practices, which may alter the competitive landscape for companies like Cleveland‑Cliffs that produce traditional steel products.

Conclusion

Cleveland‑Cliffs Inc. remains under scrutiny from analysts and policymakers as it navigates a complex environment marked by negative earnings multiples, revised valuation targets, and shifting trade regulations. Investors should consider the company’s sensitivity to global steel demand, trade policy changes, and the broader move toward greener manufacturing when evaluating its future prospects.