Constellium SE Reports Robust Fourth‑Quarter Results and Sets an Ambitious 2026 Guidance

Constellium SE, the New York‑listed aluminium specialist, announced its fiscal 2025 fourth‑quarter performance on February 18, 2026, delivering a clear signal of accelerating profitability and a forward‑looking outlook that has prompted analysts to revise their forecasts upward.

Q4 2025 Highlights

  • Revenue: $2.2 billion, surpassing estimates by $110 million.
  • GAAP earnings per share: $0.80, outstripping expectations by $0.42.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: The company confirmed that its 2025 full‑year adjusted EBITDA will comfortably exceed the $2 billion range previously projected, positioning it well ahead of the $1.7–$1.8 billion consensus.

The results reflect a continued rebound in demand across Constellium’s key markets—packaging, automotive, aerospace, and defense—where high‑performance aluminium components are increasingly sought for weight‑reduction and structural integrity.

Full‑Year 2025 Performance

  • Revenue growth: 19.8 % YoY, reaching $8.31 billion, a 43 % increase over the $7.34 billion reported in 2024.
  • Profitability: Net income rose to $1.48 billion, translating to a net margin that eclipses the $380 million loss recorded in 2024.
  • EPS: Adjusted earnings per share hit $1.48, a dramatic turnaround from the $0.38 in the preceding year.

These figures not only lift Constellium’s valuation metrics but also reinforce its status as a leading supplier of lightweight aluminium solutions for critical sectors worldwide.

2026 Outlook

Under the banner of Vision 2028, Constellium has outlined a target of $780 million to $820 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2026. This represents a substantial upward revision from earlier guidance and underscores management’s confidence in sustained demand.

  • Revenue guidance: Analysts now anticipate a 12–15 % growth rate, aligning with the company’s projection of $10–$11 billion in 2026 sales.
  • Margin expectations: With higher operating leverage and efficient cost management, the firm predicts an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15 % to 17 %.

The guidance is supported by a robust order backlog, particularly in the aerospace and automotive segments, where Constellium’s advanced body sheets and crash‑management systems are in high demand.

Analyst Reaction

Following the earnings release, analysts at major financial institutions raised their target prices and earnings estimates. The consensus price‑earnings ratio, previously pegged at 29.63, is expected to compress as the company’s profitability trajectory strengthens.

  • Consensus forecast: The average projected EPS for 2026 has risen by nearly 25 %, reflecting confidence in both revenue growth and margin expansion.
  • Investment sentiment: The stock’s recent rally—from a 52‑week low of $7.33 to a high of $27.25—has drawn attention from value‑ and growth‑oriented investors alike.

Market Context

Constellium’s performance must be viewed against the backdrop of a broader market uptick. The U.S. equity market, buoyed by strong earnings across sectors, saw the Nasdaq 100 gaining over 1 % on February 18, with notable gains in technology and industrial stocks. This environment has amplified investor appetite for companies positioned to benefit from infrastructure spending and automotive electrification, both of which are expected to sustain demand for lightweight materials.

Conclusion

The fiscal 2025 results confirm that Constellium SE is on a solid path to achieving its Vision 2028 objectives. With a resilient order pipeline, improving margins, and an ambitious 2026 EBITDA target, the company is poised to deliver continued shareholder value. Analysts’ revisions and the recent price rally suggest that market participants are increasingly optimistic about the firm’s future prospects.