Market Overview

As of 29 December 2025, Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) closed at USD 0.111738.

  • 52‑week high: USD 0.400257 (16 January 2025)
  • 52‑week low: USD 0.097568 (9 October 2025)
  • Market capitalization: USD 4 752 032 386.28

The cryptocurrency remains in the lower spectrum of its 52‑week range, trading near its recent low.

Recent Price Action

  • 29 December 2025 – HBAR posted a 4 % gain, coinciding with a 73 % jump in new accounts on the network, indicating growing on‑chain activity.
  • 30 December 2025 – The price stalled below a key resistance level, unable to breach the 23.6 % Fibonacci retracement and the associated trend line, which has been described as a corrective downtrend.
  • 31 December 2025 – Despite a modest rebound, HBAR remained stuck under the critical resistance, with bearish sentiment prevailing.

Technical Analysis

  • The current Fibonacci retracement at 23.6 % acts as a barrier; failure to break it limits upside momentum.
  • A pole‑and‑flag pattern is visible on the daily chart. A breach below USD 0.108 would trigger a 31 % potential slide, according to pole‑projection models.
  • Dip buying activity has been observed, suggesting that short‑term support may prevent a deeper correction, but the overall trend remains bearish.

Fundamental Developments

Service‑Fee Increase

In July 2025, Hedera announced an 800 % increase in the ConsensusSubmitMessage transaction fee effective January 2026, raising the fee from USD 0.0001 to USD 0.0008.

  • The fee hike could affect transaction costs and usage patterns, potentially influencing HBAR’s price trajectory when implemented.

Institutional Tokenization Interest

Malaysia’s central bank is positioning the country as a global tokenization hub. Hedera’s Token Service—offering secure protocol, predictable fees, high throughput, and fast transactions—has been highlighted as a front‑runner infrastructure.

  • The projected tokenization market is expected to reach a multi‑trillion‑dollar scale within five years, potentially expanding Hedera’s utility and demand.

Real‑World Asset (RWA) Expansion

Commercial real‑estate tokenization has expanded Hedera’s RWA market cap beyond USD 24 billion.

  • The impact on price remains to be seen, though the influx of institutional assets could strengthen long‑term fundamentals.

Risks & Outlook

  • Bearish sentiment continues to dominate, keeping the price below significant technical thresholds.
  • The potential breakdown at USD 0.108 introduces a risk of a 31 % decline if the pattern holds.
  • The upcoming fee increase may dampen short‑term transaction volume, affecting price dynamics.
  • Institutional adoption linked to Malaysia’s tokenization agenda and the RWA boom may provide upside catalysts, contingent on sustained demand and regulatory developments.

In summary, Hedera remains under technical resistance with prevailing bearish market sentiment, while fundamental drivers such as fee restructuring, institutional tokenization support, and RWA expansion present both challenges and potential upside for the cryptocurrency’s future performance.