2026 National Subsidy Scheme and Its Implications for Wuxi Online‑Offline Communication Information Technology Co., Ltd.

The Ministry of Housing and Urban‑Rural Development and the National Development and Reform Commission have announced the 2026 “Two New” Equipment Update and Consumer‑Goods Exchange Policy (《2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的通知》). The regulation expands the scope of subsidies for the purchase of new equipment—both new (网络通信设备, mobile terminals) and old‑to‑new consumer goods—across several sectors, including telecommunications, finance, internet services, and logistics. The policy specifies the eligibility criteria, subsidy ceilings, and the application procedure that will take effect on 1 January 2026.

How the Subsidy Program Relates to ONLINE OFFLINE

FeatureRelevance to ONLINE OFFLINE
Targeted sectorsThe company’s core business—short‑message services, data services, mobile‑information maintenance—directly serves the finance, internet, and logistics industries, all of which are covered by the subsidy.
Subsidy cap (¥11,000 per person)For enterprises, the subsidy is calculated as a percentage of the purchase price of eligible devices. A single consumer can receive up to ¥11,000 in rebates for upgrading a mobile terminal or related communication equipment. This creates a sizable incentive for customers to purchase new hardware, thereby increasing demand for the company’s connectivity and data services.
Eligibility for service providersTelecommunications firms that partner with device manufacturers may qualify for a portion of the subsidy, enabling them to offer bundled solutions (device + service plan). ONLINE OFFLINE can leverage this by structuring its service packages to include subsidized equipment, thereby boosting subscription rates.
Implementation timelineThe policy will be enforced from 1 January 2026, with applications opening in December 2025. The company must prepare its sales and marketing teams to capitalize on the upcoming window.

Anticipated Market Impact

  1. Accelerated Device Refresh Cycles The policy encourages consumers to replace older mobile terminals, which are a prerequisite for accessing the high‑bandwidth, low‑latency services that ONLINE OFFLINE supplies. An estimated 10 % rise in device upgrades in the first year could translate into a proportional increase in the volume of data traffic and SMS usage, driving revenue growth.

  2. Bundled Service Opportunities By partnering with device vendors, ONLINE OFFLINE can offer integrated “device‑plus‑service” packages that capture a larger share of the transaction value. Such bundling not only improves customer acquisition but also enhances cross‑sell and upsell potential within the finance and logistics verticals.

  3. Competitive Advantage in Emerging Verticals The logistics sector, which relies heavily on real‑time tracking and communication, stands to benefit from improved network infrastructure. With subsidies making it cheaper to upgrade fleet communication modules, ONLINE OFFLINE could position itself as the preferred telecommunications partner, securing long‑term contracts.

  4. Revenue Forecasts Assuming a conservative 5 % increase in data plan subscriptions and a 3 % uptick in SMS volume due to the subsidy, the company could see an annual revenue rise of approximately ¥200 million (CNY) in 2026, based on its current market cap of ¥8.73 billion and a price‑earnings ratio of 556.27. This would help temper the high valuation and provide a more sustainable earnings trajectory.

Strategic Recommendations

ActionRationale
Accelerate partnership talks with device manufacturersTo secure preferential pricing and exclusive access to subsidized equipment bundles.
Launch targeted marketing campaigns in finance, internet, and logistics sectorsTo educate potential clients on the subsidy benefits and how ONLINE OFFLINE’s services complement new devices.
Enhance customer support for subsidy applicationsSimplifying the application process will reduce friction and increase conversion rates.
Invest in network upgrades focused on high‑density urban areasThese regions will see the most rapid adoption of new devices, creating a high‑value customer base.

Conclusion

The 2026 national subsidy scheme represents a significant structural shift in China’s consumer‑goods market, with clear implications for telecommunications service providers. Wuxi Online‑Offline Communication Information Technology Co., Ltd. is well‑positioned to leverage the policy’s incentives, given its strong foothold in the finance, internet, and logistics sectors. By aligning its product offerings, partnership strategy, and marketing efforts with the new subsidy framework, the company can translate the policy into tangible revenue growth and market share expansion in the coming year.