MicroStrategy (MSTR) Maintains Nasdaq 100 Position Amid Emerging Risks

The Bitcoin‑focused corporate buyer, MicroStrategy (formerly MSTR), has confirmed that it will remain a constituent of the Nasdaq 100 following the most recent annual rebalancing. The company’s presence in the index continues to provide a layer of institutional visibility for its sizable Bitcoin holdings, which have grown to a level that analysts say can influence market sentiment.

2028 as a Turning Point

Recent analyses from beincrypto.com and cryptopanic.com highlight 2028 as the pivotal year that could determine the long‑term viability of MSTR’s business model. As the company’s Bitcoin position expands, questions arise about how it will sustain profitability once the current macro environment evolves. The debate centers on whether MSTR can transition from a treasury‑holding vehicle into a fully mature, diversified bitcoin investment platform without compromising its fiscal health.

MSCI Index Exposure

While the Nasdaq 100 retention is reassuring, bitcoinist.com and cryptopanic.com report that MSCI’s forthcoming decision poses a greater threat. MSCI’s potential removal of MSTR from its indices could reduce passive inflows and increase volatility in the stock’s price. The company’s resilience will therefore depend on navigating this external risk while maintaining its strategic alignment with bitcoin as a core asset.

Negative Yield and Cash Reserve

A notable development on 12 December was the first‑ever negative yield on MSTR’s BTC holdings for the quarter, as reported by cryptopanic.com and protos.com. This marks a departure from the historically positive returns that have attracted institutional investors. In response, decrypt.co quoted Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies, who praised the company’s recent cash reserve announcement. The $1.44 billion tranche was positioned to support shareholder dividends amid falling bitcoin prices, a move seen by some analysts as prudent risk management.

Market Snapshot

  • Close price (2025‑12‑13): $0.0626917
  • 52‑week high (2024‑12‑16): $0.898349
  • 52‑week low (2025‑11‑06): $0.0456132
  • Market capitalization: $1,321,883.928

The stark contrast between the 52‑week high and low reflects the heightened volatility surrounding MSTR’s holdings and the broader crypto market. Investors will likely monitor upcoming MSCI decisions, the trajectory of bitcoin prices, and how the company balances its cash reserves against ongoing yield pressures.

Outlook

MSTR’s continued inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 provides a degree of institutional credibility, yet the convergence of negative yield, potential MSCI exclusion, and an uncertain 2028 landscape suggests that stakeholders must remain vigilant. The company’s ability to adapt its strategy—balancing bitcoin exposure, cash reserves, and investor expectations—will be critical to sustaining its position as a leading bitcoin treasury firm.