Forex Update: US Dollar/Chinese Yuan

The forex market is closely monitoring the US Dollar/Chinese Yuan (USD/CNY) pair as the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is expected to set the reference rate at 7.1748, according to a Reuters estimate. This rate-setting is scheduled for around 0115 GMT on August 21, 2025. The PBOC, China’s central bank, is responsible for determining the daily midpoint of the yuan, which operates under a managed floating exchange rate system. As of the close on August 18, 2025, the USD/CNY pair was trading at 7.1846, with a 52-week high of 7.35 on April 9, 2025, and a 52-week low of 7.0061 on September 26, 2024.

Market Movements and Influences

In the broader financial landscape, US markets have shown some volatility, particularly in the technology sector. On August 20, 2025, the Dow Jones reported a decline in US markets, with technology stocks experiencing significant sell-offs. Intel’s stock notably dropped by 7%, contributing to the downward trend. This trend continued into the following day, with technology stocks remaining under pressure due to concerns over the rapid advancement and potential overvaluation in the AI sector.

European markets also reflected caution, with investors holding back from making significant moves ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting, a key event for global financial policymakers. This cautious sentiment was mirrored in the US, where markets were also tentative ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting minutes.

Conclusion

The forex market, particularly the USD/CNY pair, remains a focal point for investors as the PBOC’s upcoming rate decision could influence currency dynamics. Meanwhile, global equity markets are navigating through uncertainties in the technology sector and awaiting key economic policy insights from central bank meetings.